A team examines three candidate metrics for a checkout experiment. All three measure roughly the same thing and they differ enormously in how skewed they are, which drives how much traffic each would require to detect a 5% relative effect.
- Conversion (binary)
- mean 0.042, median 0, skewness 4.6
- Order value, converters only
- mean £61, median £44, skewness 2.1
- Revenue per user
- mean £2.56, median £0, skewness 11.4
- Sample needed — conversion
- ≈ 89,000 per arm
- Sample needed — order value
- ≈ 24,000 converters per arm
- Sample needed — revenue per user
- ≈ 512,000 per arm
The same underlying question costs anywhere from 24,000 to 512,000 users per arm depending on which metric carries it.
Revenue per user is the metric the business cares about and by far the most expensive to test on, because it combines two sources of skew — most users contribute zero, and among those who do not, the amounts are themselves skewed. Splitting it into its two parts is what the middle row does, and it is often the better analysis: test conversion on everyone, and test order value on converters. That answers both halves at a fraction of the traffic, at the cost of needing to combine them carefully afterwards, since a change can lift conversion while lowering basket size. Note also that conversion has a skewness of 4.6 and is still cheap, which shows the coefficient alone is not the whole story — for a binary metric the variance is bounded by p(1−p), so the skew does not carry the same cost it does for an unbounded revenue tail.