Bell Statistics

What is a DMA?

A Designated Market Area is Nielsen's definition of a US television market — a group of counties sharing the same broadcast signals. There are 210 of them, and they are the standard geo unit in American media testing because they match how television is actually bought.

Notation
DMA
Also called
DMA, Nielsen DMA, media market, television market
Allon Korem

Written by Allon Korem

Chief Executive Officer

Last updated

In plain English

A Designated Market Area is Nielsen's partition of the United States into 210 television markets, each a group of counties receiving the same broadcast signals. The definition is commercial rather than governmental — it exists because advertisers need to know who a station reaches — and that origin is exactly why it has become the default geo unit for media measurement.

The reason it works so well is alignment. Television and radio are bought by DMA, so a campaign switched on or off at DMA level is switched on or off along the same boundaries the media plan already uses. That removes the leakage problem that finer units create: within a DMA everyone gets the same television, and across DMAs they do not. A geo test at postcode level fighting a DMA-level buy is contaminated by construction.

They are extremely uneven, which is the main practical complication. New York covers over seven million households and the smallest markets cover fewer than fifty thousand, so a handful of large DMAs can dominate a national outcome and effectively shrink the sample far below 210. Stratifying by size before assignment, or weighting the analysis, is standard practice for that reason — and checking the concentration of volume across markets should precede any power calculation.

They are also a television construct being used for everything else. Digital campaigns can target far more precisely, e-commerce demand does not follow broadcast footprints, and a DMA can span state lines with different tax and shipping rules. Where a campaign is purely digital, a DMA may be needlessly coarse — the reason to keep using it is usually that other channels in the mix are not.

Outside the United States there is no direct equivalent and the substitutes are worse. The UK has ITV regions, most of Europe uses administrative regions such as NUTS, and elsewhere teams fall back on cities or states. None was designed around media footprints, so cross-boundary leakage is generally larger and matching markets on pre-period behaviour matters correspondingly more.

The formula

Nothing here is a formula. What is worth quantifying is the unevenness, because it decides how much the 210 markets are really worth.

The count
210 DMAs covering the United States

Every county belongs to exactly one, so they partition the country without overlap.

The unevenness
largest ≈ 7,400,000 households; smallest ≈ 30,000

A 250-fold range. The top ten markets carry roughly a third of US television households.

The concentration check
share of your outcome in the top 5 markets

If a few markets dominate, effective sample is far below 210 — see the paired t-test calculator.

The standard remedy
stratify by size before assigning test and control

Ensures both arms get a comparable mix of large and small markets — see stratified randomization.

Worked example

A national advertiser plans a DMA-level test and checks whether 210 markets really provide 210 units of information, by looking at how its own conversion volume is distributed across them.

Total DMAs
210
DMAs with usable weekly volume
148
Share of conversions in top 5 DMAs
31%
Share in bottom 100 DMAs
9%
Effective sample, volume-weighted
≈ 62
Detectable effect: naive 148 vs effective 62
5.4% vs 8.3%

148 usable markets behave like about 62 for power purposes, because volume is heavily concentrated in the largest.

The gap between 148 and 62 is what a raw unit count hides. Five markets carrying 31% of conversions means those five largely determine the national estimate, and the hundred smallest contribute 9% between them — they are units in name and contribute little information. The detectable effect moves from 5.4% to 8.3% once that is accounted for, which is the difference between a test that can resolve a typical campaign effect and one that cannot. Two responses follow. Stratify by size so both arms get a comparable mix of large markets, since a random split that put four of the top five in one arm would be badly unbalanced. And consider whether the smallest markets should be excluded entirely rather than adding noise — dropping the bottom 50 costs 3% of volume and removes a great deal of variance.

Common misconceptions

210 DMAs means a geo test has 210 observations.
Only if volume is spread evenly, which it never is. The largest markets dominate the national outcome and the smallest contribute almost nothing, so the effective sample is typically a fraction of the nominal count. Compute the volume-weighted effective sample before trusting any power calculation built on 210.
DMAs are official government geographic units.
They are Nielsen's commercial definition of television markets, built around broadcast reach. That commercial origin is precisely why they suit media testing — they match how television is bought — and also why they line up imperfectly with states, tax jurisdictions and delivery zones.
DMAs are the right unit for any geo test.
They are the right unit when television or radio is in the mix, because the buy respects those boundaries. For a purely digital campaign with precise geo-targeting they may be needlessly coarse, and finer units would give real power gains without the leakage that motivated DMAs in the first place.

Frequently asked questions

What is the equivalent of a DMA outside the United States?
There is no direct equivalent, which is a genuine handicap. The UK has ITV regions, continental Europe generally uses administrative regions such as NUTS levels, and elsewhere teams fall back on cities, states or provinces. None was designed around media footprints, so cross-boundary spillover tends to be larger — which makes careful pre-period matching and a conservative reading of the results more important, not less.
How do I handle how uneven DMAs are?
Stratify by size before assignment so both arms receive a comparable mix, which prevents a random split putting most of the large markets on one side. Weight the analysis appropriately, and consider excluding the smallest markets entirely — dropping the bottom quartile often costs a few per cent of volume and removes a disproportionate share of the variance.
Should a digital-only campaign use DMAs?
Not necessarily. DMAs exist because television is bought that way; a purely digital campaign can target far more precisely, and finer units would give more statistical power without the leakage that made DMAs necessary. The usual reason to stay at DMA level anyway is that other channels in the mix are bought there, and the test needs one unit that works for all of them.

Related terms

  • Geo experiment

    Randomise regions instead of users — the way to test marketing that cannot be hidden from a person.

  • Geo test periods

    Match, measure, then wait — and the cooldown is the phase teams skip and then misread the result.

  • Geo unit

    How finely you cut the map: more units means more power, and more spillover between them.

  • Test and control markets

    Too few markets for randomisation to balance them, so they are matched — and the matching is the whole design.

Calculate it

  • Correlation test

    Pearson r or Spearman rho, with the Fisher-z interval that says how little a small sample knows.

  • Paired t-test

    Before-and-after or matched pairs — size the study on the difference SD, then test it.

Knowing the term is the easy part

Applying it to a live measurement problem is the part that goes wrong. If you are designing an experiment, reading a result you do not trust, or trying to work out what your marketing actually caused, that is the work we do.

References

  • Nielsen. Designated Market Area (DMA) Regions. The Nielsen Company.
  • Vaver, J., & Koehler, J. (2011). Measuring Ad Effectiveness Using Geo Experiments. Google Inc.